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Obama takes the lead, but can he maintain it? Print E-mail
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Written by Elton Callwood   
Friday, 15 February 2008

As the race to the White House continues to close in on the presidential candidates, more historical changes have been recorded.

No one can confirm for sure who will end up being the Democrats’ presidential nominee since the battle between Senators Barack Obama and Hilary Clinton moved to even higher grounds.

For the first time, Obama has been able to secure a lead in the delegate’s numbers since the caucuses started.

Obama has won eight races in a row and leads the delegate count 1,253 to Clinton’s 1,211. Additionally, the polls have shown him gaining strength in Wisconsin and Hawaii, which vote next Tuesday.

The question though, can he maintain the lead on Clinton who with her husband and campaign team is  probably competent enough to muster up some strategies to stop Obama?

Dirty campaigning works most times in pulling down leading candidates who cannot be stopped otherwise. Are they going to resort to that time of politics again?

This all leaves Hillary Clinton in a pretty tough position. Obama’s wide margins in the races over the last week mean that Clinton not only needs to win in Ohio and Texas on March 4, but she needs to answer back with a couple landslides of her own.

Obama’s latest victories were by a margin of almost 2-1 in Maryland and Virginia, and 3-1 in the District of Columbia.

Obama has also been raising more money than Clinton with his campaign bringing in $1 million a day from more than 650,000 contributors.

Obama also has one of the most organised campaigns even though he is the newcomer to the political stage and has declared it a movement. That alone shows strong organisational structure, and coupled with the financial support and more voters on his side thus far, it is looking like a mammoth task for Clinton to move ahead of him.

However, let’s not forget that if the two candidates remain in a close battle and fail to muster the 2,025 delegates needed to win the nomination, then it will have to be decided at the Democrats Convention in August where the decision can be placed in the hands of the 796 super delegates. This is already creating harsh talks on both sides regarding whether or not these super delegates should be allowed to decide who leads the party. It can lead to a prolonged battle but in the end, will Obama still be able to maintain the lead?

On the other hand on the Republican side, leading presidential candidate John McCain’s camp is calling on Mike Huckabee to quit as McCain is leading significantly. However, Governor Huckabee maintains that he will not quit until whichever nominee secured the 1,191 delegates needed to win the nomination.

Many might say Huckabee is just being stubborn but I would say he is smart. He has been winning significantly in many states since Mitt Romney stepped out of the race and he has also been doing well with the conservatives who do not endorse McCain.

Huckabee is also proving to the people that he is a man who will stick it through in anything he attempts regardless of the consequences. He has shown great leadership quality which will be a plus on his side if he is the run in the next election.

He is looking ahead I would say and even though he might not win this one, he is making his mark. Meanwhile, he took a short break from the campaign trail to be in the Cayman Islands this weekend to deliver a paid speech. As the campaign continues to take unprecedented turns, it is difficult to predict who will really come out on top.

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